Montgomery Flora

Research Scientist

I work as a graduate research assistant for the NOAA-funded Warn-on-Forecast program; an effort to provide rapidly-updating probabilistic severe weather hazard guidance for human forecasters.??In my research, I have predominately explored supercell predictability. This includes forecast sensitivity to grid resolution, initial condition (IC)?coarseness, and IC uncertainty. More recently, I have explored rare-event forecast verification and implementing machine learning to calibrate the severe weather hazard forecast probabilities.